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Fortune Favours the Bold: An Agent-Based Model Reveals Adaptive Advantages of Overconfidence in War

  • Dominic D. P. Johnson ,

    dominic.johnson@ed.ac.uk

    Affiliation Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom

  • Nils B. Weidmann,

    Affiliations Jackson Institute for Global Affairs, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America, Centre for the Study of Civil War, International Peace Research Institute Oslo, Oslo, Norway

  • Lars-Erik Cederman

    Affiliation International Conflict Research, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule (ETH) Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

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