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Research Article

Fortune Favours the Bold: An Agent-Based Model Reveals Adaptive Advantages of Overconfidence in War

  • Dominic D. P. Johnson mail,

    dominic.johnson@ed.ac.uk

    Affiliation: Politics and International Relations, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom

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  • Nils B. Weidmann,

    Affiliations: Jackson Institute for Global Affairs, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America, Centre for the Study of Civil War, International Peace Research Institute Oslo, Oslo, Norway

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  • Lars-Erik Cederman

    Affiliation: International Conflict Research, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule (ETH) Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

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  • Published: June 24, 2011
  • DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0020851

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