About the Authors

Patricia Geli

Affiliation Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, Washington, D.C., United States of America

Ramanan Laxminarayan

ramanan@cddep.org

Affiliations Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, Washington, D.C., United States of America, Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America

Michael Dunne

Affiliation Durata Therapeutics, Inc., Morristown, New Jersey, United States of America

David L. Smith

Affiliations Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, Washington, D.C., United States of America, Department of Zoology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America

Competing Interests

The authors have read the journal's policy and have the following conflicts. MD is an employee at Durata Therapeutics, Inc. and was previously employed by Pfizer, Inc. This does not alter the authors' adherence to all the PLoS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

Author Contributions

Conceived and designed the experiments: DLS RL. Wrote the paper: PG. Analyzed the model: PG. Obtained data for key model assumptions: PG DLS MD. Critically revised manuscript for intellectual content: PG RL MD DLS.