About the Authors

Andrew N. Phillips

andrew.phillips@ucl.ac.uk

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Valentina Cambiano

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Fumiyo Nakagawa

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Alison E. Brown

Affiliation Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom

Fiona Lampe

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Alison Rodger

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Alec Miners

Affiliation London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Jonathan Elford

Affiliation City University, London, United Kingdom

Graham Hart

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Anne M. Johnson

Affiliation Research Department of Infection & Population Health, UCL, London, United Kingdom

Jens Lundgren

Affiliation Copenhagen University Hospital/Rigshospitalet, and University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

Valerie C. Delpech

Affiliation Health Protection Agency, London, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Author Contributions

Contributed to the formulation of the research questions, had critical input into interpretation of results, and had substantial input into the drafting of the manuscript: AP VC FN AB FL AR AM JE GH AJ JL VD. Led on collection of the HIV surveillance data used in the analysis: VD AB. Worked on development and programming of the HIV Synthesis model: AP VC FN. Performed the modelling analysis: AP. Conceived and designed the experiments: AP VC FN AM AB FL AR JE GH AJ VD JL. Performed the experiments: AP VC FN. Analyzed the data: AP VC. Wrote the paper: AP VC FN AM AB FL AR JE GH AJ VD JL.