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Using # of theatres in the prediction model

Posted by arski on 27 Mar 2015 at 14:20 GMT

Dear Sirs,

I really enjoyed your article and it has some very informative comparisons to previous work and new ideas as well. However, having a bit of experience in the movie industry, the number of theatres, or theatre screens a movie is going to play in is not really something you would know in advance in general, so it feels like using that value in the prediction model is a bit of a cheat here as the final box office number is likely to be highly dependent on it.

Not to take anything away from the work anyway, but just maybe worth a note if someone were to try and apply the model in real world.

Regards,
Martin

No competing interests declared.

RE: Using # of theatres in the prediction model

TahaYasseri replied to arski on 07 Apr 2015 at 23:38 GMT

Dear Martin,

Thank you very much for your comment.
You're absolutely right about the availability of the data on the number of theatres assigned to each movie. We wished that the readers would notice the hypothetical framework of our research. However, regarding your comment "final box office number is likely to be highly dependent on it.", this is something that we calculated and reported in the paper (see the grey dashed lines in fig. 2). We also showed that the presented model outperforms a model solely based on the number of theatres (fig 3.).

Thank you very much again for your useful comment.
Best,
Taha

Competing interests declared: Corresponding author.