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Very interesting modeling article

Posted by Cellsnbirds on 04 Mar 2009 at 15:27 GMT

Loved the article.

However, one thing that would be helpful in getting people (both scientists and laypersons) not familiar with modeling to grasp the data would be a handful of case-studies. For instance, Figure 2 groups the 124 bird species into two composites, and an overlay of the population trends or other data for one or two well-studies species from each composite would be really helpful.

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RE: Very interesting modeling article

gregory1 replied to Cellsnbirds on 04 Mar 2009 at 17:06 GMT

Thanks for your positive feedback. The measured population trends of the birds and their projected range changes are given in Table S1, but the obviously the table isn't easy to read.

To summarise, the top ten bird species increasing in number and projected to increase in range in our study were; Sardinian warbler, subalpine warbler, bee-eater, cirl bunting, Cetti’s warbler, hoopoe, golden oriole, goldfinch great reed warbler and collared dove.

The top ten bird species decreasing in number and projected to decrease in range in our study were; snipe, meadow pipit, brambling, willow tit, lapwing, thrush nightingale; wood warbler, nutcracker, northern wheatear, and lesser spotted woodpecker.

You can view the individual species trends of all the birds in the paper at: http://www.ebcc.info/inde.... Just pick a spcies of interest.

So for example the downward trend of the lapwing is at:
http://www.ebcc.info/inde...

And the upward, volatile trend of the hoopoe at:
http://www.ebcc.info/inde...

I hope this help visualize the real data underlying this piece of work.

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Problems with links

sunflower replied to gregory1 on 01 Feb 2011 at 10:23 GMT

Dear Gregory,

Unfortunately, I am having problems opening the links related to the view of individual species trends of all the birds, the downward trend of the lapwing and the upward, volatile trend of the hoopoe in your comment mail. It would be great if you could check on these links and if necessary send me new ones. I am also having some difficulties in understanding exactly which index climate change indicators are important for each bird species. Could you help me with that?

Thanks a lot for your help.

No competing interests declared.
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