Use of Cumulative Incidence of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 in Foreign Travelers to Estimate Lower Bounds on Cumulative Incidence in Mexico

• Marc Lipsitch ,

  * E-mail: mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu

  Affiliations Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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• Martin Lajous,

  Affiliations Center for Population Health Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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• Justin J. O'Hagan,

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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• Ted Cohen,

  Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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• Joel C. Miller,

  Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

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• Edward Goldstein,

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America

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• Leon Danon,

  Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom

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• Jacco Wallinga,

  Affiliation Epidemiology and Surveillance Unit, Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands

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• Steven Riley,

  Affiliation School of Public Health and Department of Community Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, People's Republic of China

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• Scott F. Dowell,

  Affiliation Division of Global Disease Detection and Emergency Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

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• Carrie Reed,

  Affiliation Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

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• Meg McCarron

  Affiliation Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America

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